This is a short treatise on the secret of entrepreneurial success, which extends easily to the secret of business success in general:
http://dimodimov.me/wordpress/2013/05/the-illusion-of-understanding-entrepreneurial-success/
For more in this vein, these two books are recommended:
The Click Moment by Frans Johansson
Fooled by Randomness by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
